Hockey Match Report

Analyst’s Diary Match Report

Hungary vs Finland

16 May 2026
IIHF World Championship 2026 – Group Stage
Hungary (HUN) 1:4 Finland (FIN)

Report generated from the match shot-location pipeline. Metrics marked as proxies are based on OCR-extracted shot coordinates and should be interpreted as transparent spatial indicators rather than official tracking data.

Prepared by Antonin Kremenak

Executive summary

  • Finland generated the higher official shots-on-goal volume.
  • Finland produced the stronger location-based Shot Quality Index.
  • Finland got more attempts from the inner-slot / high-danger area.
  • Finland led in high-danger chances based on the distance-and-lane proxy.
Shots On Goal
FIN: 32 | HUN: 10
Blocked Shots
FIN: 21 | HUN: 2
Scoring Chances
FIN: 21 | HUN: 4

1. Public layer: simple match metrics

These visuals are designed as a simple entry point for wider audiences: official shots on goal, blocked shots, shot quality proxies and basic chance creation.

Public match summary metrics
Key Metrics: Hungary vs Finland
16 May 2026 — Shot Quality Index is a location-based proxy, not a trained xG model.
Metric HUN FIN
OCR detected attempts 8.00 49.0
Corsi attempts 8.00 49.0
Fenwick attempts 7.00 35.0
Scoring chances 4.00 21.0
High-danger chances 1.00 7.0
Shot Quality Index 0.47 2.8

2. Shot maps and spatial overview

Shot maps show where attempts came from, how dangerous they were spatially, and how shot locations changed across periods.

Shot map by period
Shot map with player numbers

3. Shot quality and territorial battle

This section moves from simple shot counts to spatial pressure: location quality, offensive-zone density and period-by-period territorial advantage.

Shot Quality Index by team
Territorial and shot-quality advantage

4. Offensive-zone density

Offensive-zone shot density
Team offensive-zone shot density
Full-rink shot location density

5. Advanced insider layer

The following metrics are proxy-based insider indicators built from the available shot-location sample. They are useful for storytelling, but they are not a substitute for full play-by-play or tracking data.

  • Hungary showed the highest aggression profile while trailing, based on chance rate, slot access and net-front pressure.
  • Finland had the strongest danger-oriented shot style: perimeter / point-shot oriented.
  • Finland generated the clearest central-access pattern: strong central-lane access.
  • Finland produced the strongest pressure window between shot sequence 27 and 32.
  • Finland had the highest goals-per-SQI finishing efficiency and roughly aligned with chance quality.
Score-state behavior
Shot-style profile
Finishing efficiency vs chance quality

6. Momentum

Shot-sequence momentum

7. Player layer

Player public leaders
Top players from the OCR-extracted shot sample
team player_no ocr_detected_attempts ocr_shots_on_goal scoring_chances high_danger_chances inner_slot_shots net_front_shots rebound_like_shots shot_quality_index avg_shot_distance team_name
FIN 16 4 3 4 3 3 2 3 0.61 12.2 Finland
FIN 15 4 2 4 1 1 0 1 0.39 28.7 Finland
FIN 65 3 1 2 1 0 0 0 0.27 40.8 Finland
FIN 4 6 1 2 0 0 0 0 0.22 57.4 Finland
FIN 37 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0.20 33.5 Finland
FIN 10 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 0.20 47.7 Finland
FIN 73 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0.18 21.3 Finland
HUN 88 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0.18 9.4 Hungary
FIN 27 4 1 1 0 0 0 1 0.13 43.7 Finland
FIN 3 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0.13 53.9 Finland
FIN 41 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0.13 48.9 Finland
HUN 55 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.11 55.4 Hungary

#Source https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm/schedule