Hockey Match Report

Analyst’s Diary Match Report

Canada vs Sweden

15 May 2026
IIHF World Championship 2026 – Group Stage
Canada (CAN) 5:3 Sweden (SWE)

Report generated from the match shot-location pipeline. Metrics marked as proxies are based on OCR-extracted shot coordinates and should be interpreted as transparent spatial indicators rather than official tracking data.

Prepared by Antonin Kremenak

Executive summary

  • Canada generated the higher official shots-on-goal volume.
  • Canada produced the stronger location-based Shot Quality Index.
  • Canada got more attempts from the inner-slot / high-danger area.
  • Canada led in high-danger chances based on the distance-and-lane proxy.
Shots On Goal
CAN: 26 | SWE: 25
Blocked Shots
CAN: 10 | SWE: 7
Scoring Chances
CAN: 17 | SWE: 11

1. Public layer: simple match metrics

These visuals are designed as a simple entry point for wider audiences: official shots on goal, blocked shots, shot quality proxies and basic chance creation.

Public match summary metrics
Key Metrics: Canada vs Sweden
15 May 2026 — Shot Quality Index is a location-based proxy, not a trained xG model.
Metric CAN SWE
OCR detected attempts 30.00 31.00
Corsi attempts 30.00 31.00
Fenwick attempts 22.00 26.00
Scoring chances 17.00 11.00
High-danger chances 9.00 6.00
Shot Quality Index 2.44 1.83

2. Shot maps and spatial overview

Shot maps show where attempts came from, how dangerous they were spatially, and how shot locations changed across periods.

Shot map by period
Shot map with player numbers

3. Shot quality and territorial battle

This section moves from simple shot counts to spatial pressure: location quality, offensive-zone density and period-by-period territorial advantage.

Shot Quality Index by team
Territorial and shot-quality advantage

4. Offensive-zone density

Offensive-zone shot density
Team offensive-zone shot density
Full-rink shot location density

5. Advanced insider layer

The following metrics are proxy-based insider indicators built from the available shot-location sample. They are useful for storytelling, but they are not a substitute for full play-by-play or tracking data.

  • Canada showed the highest aggression profile while tied, based on chance rate, slot access and net-front pressure.
  • Canada had the strongest danger-oriented shot style: slot-heavy / chance-driven.
  • Canada generated the clearest central-access pattern: strong central-lane access.
  • Canada produced the strongest pressure window between shot sequence 7 and 11.
  • Sweden had the highest goals-per-SQI finishing efficiency and finished well above spatial chance quality.
Score-state behavior
Shot-style profile
Finishing efficiency vs chance quality

6. Momentum

Shot-sequence momentum

7. Player layer

Player public leaders
Top players from the OCR-extracted shot sample
Team Player no. OCR attempts OCR shots on goal Scoring chances High-danger chances Inner-slot shots Net-front shots Rebound-like shots Shot Quality Index Avg shot distance
Sweden 13 7 4 3 1 1 1 1 0.40 43.9
Canada 91 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 0.38 19.7
Sweden 74 3 1 2 2 1 0 1 0.38 35.6
Canada 24 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 0.36 9.0
Canada 81 2 1 2 1 1 1 0 0.25 26.5
Canada 13 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0.18 14.4
Canada 16 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0.18 24.1
Canada 77 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0.18 13.7
Canada 90 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0.18 11.3
Sweden 41 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0.18 21.6
Sweden 44 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0.18 19.3
Sweden 70 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0.18 10.8

Player-level statistics are generated from OCR-detected shot markers and spatial coordinates from IIHF shot charts. Due to OCR limitations and embedded IIHF PDF fonts, some player-level counts may contain minor inaccuracies.

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8. Source

https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm/schedule